Shuhei Nomura, a researcher at Keio University School of Medicine, said that the number of marriages and divorces in Japan decreased in the first emergency declaration accompanying the spread of the new coronavirus infection in April-May 2020. It was found by the analysis of the associate professors.

 According to Keio University, the research group had no corona sickness estimated based on domestic marriages, divorces, and births from January 2017 to May 1 and data from the last five years. We compared the predicted values ​​of the number of marriages, divorces, and births.

 As a result, we found that during the first declaration of an emergency in April-May 2020, the number of marriages and divorces was lower than usual, and the number of births was lower than usual between December 4 and February 5. ..

 The research group felt vague anxiety and financial worries about the decline in the number of marriages and births in the first declaration of emergency, and forgot or postponed marriage, and more couples postponed childbirth. I think.Regarding divorce, it is reported that the number of divorces abroad is increasing due to Korona-ka, but it is speculated that some couples may have canceled or postponed divorce in Japan.

 While this change may further accelerate Japan's declining birthrate, the research group believes that marriage and births may have increased in reaction to June 2021, and further research is needed in the future.

Paper information:[BMJ Global Health] Changes in marriage, divorce and births during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan

Keio University

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