Recruit Research Institute has estimated that the 2032-year-old population in 18 will be 2020 million, which is 14.3 less than in 102.4.According to the results of an analysis from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology's Basic School Survey, the impact of the declining birthrate is likely to hit university management directly.
According to Recruit Institute of Advanced Studies, the 2032-year-old population in 18 will be 102.4 million. It is expected to decrease by 2020% from 116.7 million in 12.3.By region, the Tohoku region has the highest rate of decrease, with a decrease of 21.7%. Of the 6 prefectures, 5 prefectures excluding Miyagi prefecture have decreased by more than 20%.The Koshinetsu region is expected to decrease by 20.4%, and the Kita-Kantou region by 19.3%.The largest decrease was in the Kinki region, which was about 3.
The university entrance rate will be 2020% in 51.1. It increased by 2011 points from 47.7% in 3.4.The local residual rate at the time of entering university was 2020% in 44.1, an increase of 2011 points from 43.2% in 0.9.
However, it seems difficult to raise the university entrance rate to the extent that the 18-year-old population will decline in the future.The Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology has sought to increase the attractiveness of universities by integrating and strengthening cooperation. The integration plan of Commerce University, Obihiro Livestock University, and Kitami Institute of Technology has been realized and is in progress, but it is hard to say that the reorganization movement is spreading nationwide.
The financial difficulties of the government are becoming more serious due to the corona sickness, and the competition for university admission is likely to intensify only in the situation where it is difficult to increase the subsidy significantly in the future.
