Professor Jun-ichi Imura of Tokyo Institute of Technology and others have developed a technology that can maintain a well-balanced power supply and demand using the latest technology called section prediction with reliability.This makes it possible to respond to changes in power generation due to changes in the weather.
Therefore, it is important to predict the amount of solar power generation in advance and increase the amount of other power generation accordingly.The group used a technique called confidence interval prediction to enable such predictions.Prediction with confidence can be used to predict the expected amount of solar radiation and its reliability over time.In other words, it turns out that the amount of solar power generation can only generate this much at worst, and it is possible to predict in advance the amount that will need to be supplied from other power sources.
Prediction interval with reliability is a method that is becoming the mainstream in the world in forecasting power generation of renewable energy.In the future, in addition to these predicted values, we aim to build a system that derives the optimum operation method for the entire power supply system while taking into account the cost of starting and stopping thermal power generation.