It is expected that the 2024 entrance examination will strengthen the awareness of safety among active students.This is because the entrance examination for the new course will be held in the following year (2025 entrance examination).It has often been seen in the past that in safety-oriented academic years, examinees headed for so-called year-end entrance examinations, such as school-recommended selection and comprehensive selection. A similar trend is expected for the 2024 entrance exams, but on the other hand, there are also moves on the part of universities to try to secure students early in the entrance exams within the year.However, it is possible that mid-level private universities and below may not be able to secure enough applicants for the entrance exams this year.
Both applicants and successful applicants for the 2023 entrance examination will increase
The number of successful applicants for the general selection of difficult private universities is increasing because the method of managing the number of students has changed from "entrance capacity + accommodation capacity" to multi-year management of only "accommodation capacity".For this reason, it is becoming difficult for private universities of medium and lower ranks to secure enrollment through general selection, and many private universities are likely to be more inclined to take entrance exams within the year to ensure enrollment during the year. .In fact, in recent years, the number of applicants and successful applicants for the annual entrance examination has been increasing.
Data compiled from the year-end entrance examination results for the 2023 entrance examination is posted on Kawaijuku's university entrance examination information site Kei-Net and Obunsha's Path Navi. , The entrance examination results for national and public universities that do not impose a common test for university entrance (hereinafter referred to as the common test) show a 2023% increase in the number of applicants and a XNUMX% increase in the number of successful applicants, although the ratio does not change, the number of applicants and the number of successful applicants Both are increasing.Looking at national universities and public universities, the number of applicants at national universities increased by XNUMX%, and the number of successful applicants increased by XNUMX%.At public universities, the number of applicants decreased by XNUMX% and the number of successful applicants increased by XNUMX%, so the number of successful applicants at national universities is increasing.Due to the tallying method that does not impose a standardized test, the number of applicants who are decided to pass or enter the university within the year is increasing.This means that the actual number of applicants for general selection will decrease.
Kawaijuku's tally seems to include school-recommended selection and comprehensive selection, which impose a standardized test. The number has increased by 1,300%, and the number of successful applicants has increased by XNUMX%.The total number of successful applicants at national and public universities has increased by about XNUMX, which is a tough number for private universities.
Obunsha pass navigation
https://passnavi.obunsha.co.jp/
■ Kawaijuku ``Overview of school recommendation and comprehensive selection''
https://www.keinet.ne.jp/exam/past/review/recommendation.html
Medicine/nursing/nutrition, home economics/life sciences, teacher training made easy
According to Obunsha, the number of successful applicants for entrance examinations at private universities has increased more than the number of applicants.The number of applicants increased by 12%, and the number of successful applicants increased by 29%.The rate of increase in the number of successful applicants is particularly high in the Keihanshin area.Looking at the number of applicants by department, the number of successful applicants increased year-on-year in law, economics/management/commerce, humanities/humanities/general education, medicine, medical care/nursing/nutrition, home economics/life sciences, and teacher training. is exceeding the growth ofIn particular, the number of applicants for medicine/nursing/nutrition, home economics/life sciences, and teacher training has decreased by XNUMX-XNUMX%, but the number of successful applicants has increased by a few percentage points, indicating that it has become considerably easier. I understand.Please note that Obunsha's data is for December last year, so the number of applicants to private universities is about XNUMX.
Kawaijuku's tally was collected at the end of May this year, so the number of applicants to private universities is about 50, but the number of applicants increased by 10% and the number of successful applicants increased by 10%, so the trend is the same as Obunsha's data.The Kawaijuku data is aggregated by region, and if you look at it, you can see the increase in the number of successful applicants in the Kinki region, similar to the Obunsha data.The number of successful applicants has exceeded 2022, an increase of XNUMX% from the previous year.According to the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology's Basic School Survey XNUMX, this figure of XNUMX is the number of students entering universities in four prefectures: Shiga, Kyoto, Osaka, Hyogo, Nara, and Wakayama. It is almost the same number as the actual number ofThe number of successful applicants for the entrance exams in the Kinki region is high, especially since there are many methods that allow applicants to apply concurrently through public recommendation.
2024 year-end entrance exams are on the rise
In the 2024 entrance examination, there is a tendency to expand the number of entrance examinations within the year.Looking at information about changes in entrance exams on Kawaijuku's Kei-Net, we can see that not only private universities but also national and public universities are introducing new methods such as school-recommended selection and comprehensive selection.Both the method of imposing a common test and the method of not imposing it are increasing.In addition, there are some national and public universities that are planning to increase the number of recruits.For example, public universities in the Tohoku region, which until last year had a maximum of four students per school, increased the number to eight per school, and public universities in the Chugoku and Shikoku regions, which until last year had a maximum of three students per school, have no limit on the number of students. Also, public universities in the Kyushu area have no limit on the number of recruits, which used to be up to four people per department. I think that four students per department from one school is enough for recruiting, but if there are no further restrictions, private universities with similar faculties in the same area will be placed in a very competitive environment.
At national universities, I am concerned about the number of applicants and successful applicants for the new women's quota set by Tokyo Institute of Technology.The quota for women in science and engineering departments will expand at once next year.Kitami Institute of Technology, University of Kanazawa, University of Yamanashi, Nagoya Institute of Technology, as well as private universities such as Tokyo University of Science and Kanagawa University will newly set up women's slots.From the perspective of most women's universities that do not have science and engineering departments, this is an unmanageable and troublesome move.
In this way, the competition between universities is getting tougher even in this year's entrance exams, so it is expected that the number of universities that will lower their application standards (learning results = grade average) for designated school recommendation will increase next year.In this way, the number of eligible applicants will increase, and the number of entrance examination methods at each university will also increase, so the scale of entrance examinations will continue to expand within the year.However, if the scale expands, an environment will be created in which the most popular top universities can take over.It seems that many mid-sized universities are trying to secure new students by taking the entrance exams by the end of the year.It is difficult for universities, but for prospective students, we are approaching a very hopeful era in which they can reach traditional schools that they could not have imagined in the past.
■ Kawaijuku Kei-Net "Information on changes in entrance examinations"
https://www.keinet.ne.jp/exam/future/
