I would like to sort out the external pressure to promote university selection toward 2100 by dividing it into three categories: 1. population transition and economic changes, 2. science and technology evolution, and 3. university changes and administrative measures.

1. Population trends and economic changes
　The world's population was about 2011 billion in 70, but is projected to grow to 2050 billion in 93 and 2100 billion in 112.Each country, mainly Southeast Asia and Africa, has a large number of young people and develops as a world power.
　In Japan, the population is declining significantly while the declining birthrate and aging population are intensifying. By 2100, the population of about 1 million will be halved to 3 million.Japan's population has dropped significantly from 6th to 4th in the world.In the world, influence and economic power will be lost. If it is limited to the 9-year-old population, it will decrease to 29/18 from 120 million to 30. After the 1 Tokyo Olympics, if the effects of measures such as the active participation of women, the active participation of the elderly, the increase and active participation of inbound workers, measures against the declining birthrate, and productivity improvement do not appear, the economy will decline as the working population declines. To go.

2. Evolution of science and technology
　"Current Status of University Reform and Its Whereabouts Part 2"So, I touched on the evolution of INTERNET EDUCATION, the evolution of automatic translators, and the evolution of virtual reality, but it is predicted that the evolution of science and technology will overcome the "language barrier" and the "distance barrier" in the near future. Will be done.
　In addition, the evolution of artificial intelligence is predicted to exceed that of human intelligence by 2040, and robots and artificial intelligence will replace more than half of the current occupations.In addition, motivated and talented young people from developing Southeast Asia and Africa will play a central role in the world's work.Since the evolution of science and technology will change even the abilities necessary for human beings to work, the way of education itself will have to be changed.

3. University changes and administrative measures
　The world's top universities are undergoing educational reforms that surpass Japan, and are trying to achieve further evolution under strong financial resources.In addition, many universities will be born and evolve in the multipolar nations that will develop in the future, centered on India, Asia, and Africa."Current Status of University Reform and Its Whereabouts Part 2"The online university introduced in is already developing in the world, and more than 2,000 million people have taken it.again,"Current Status of University Reform and Its Whereabouts Part 3"Various universities promote education utilizing cutting-edge science and technology, as shown in the case of Minerva University, a world-class university that practices human resources development methods that combine real and virtual from a completely new perspective, which was introduced in. It seems that it will continue.
　If the best education can be achieved online, certain knowledge and skills will enable one teacher or artificial intelligence to educate all the people in the world who want to learn.In other words, specific knowledge and skills can be achieved by specific teachers and artificial intelligence.This will promote the oligopoly of top-class universities and faculty members.At the same time, the cost of education will be lower and free (this is already happening).
　The Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology has set a policy of "integrated reform of higher education, university education, and university entrance examination selection toward the realization of high school connections suitable for the new era" as the direction of medium-term university reform, promotion of active learning, and capacity shortage. We are promoting reforms such as subsidy cuts to accelerate the selection of universities, university integration, undergraduate integration measures, and measures to promote the structural transformation of universities by establishing a specialized vocational university (tentative name).However, the direction of reform in the long-term range cannot be seen.And the shrinking of the 18-year-old population cannot be stopped, and the number of universities in Japan will decrease sharply.

Such a scenario may hit Japan toward 2100.