Recruit Research Institute estimated the 2031-year-old population in 18 based on the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology's Basic School Survey, and found that it would drop to 2019 million, 117.5% less than the 12 million in 103.3.Since the birth rate is declining at a faster pace than the government predicts due to the declining birthrate, it is expected that the rate will continue to decline sharply after 2031, casting a dark shadow on university management.
According to Recruit Institute of Advanced Studies, the 18-year-old population will remain in the 2022 million range until 110, but it is expected to continue declining after falling to the 2023 million range in 100. It is estimated that the number will fall below 2030 million from 105.
Looking at the population by region in 2019 with 100 as 2031, the largest decrease is in the Tohoku region at 77.3.This is followed by 80.4 in the Koshinetsu region, 82.0 in the Hokuriku region, 82.3 in the Kita-Kantou region, 82.7 in the Shikoku region, and 84.2 in the Hokkaido region.The small decrease is 94.2 in South Kanto and 93.0 in Kyushu / Okinawa.
By prefecture, Okinawa Prefecture, which has a high birth rate, will increase, while all other prefectures will be negative.Of these, the three prefectures of Aomori, Akita, and Fukushima are predicted to decrease by more than 25%. The decrease of 3% or more and less than 20% is in 25 prefectures of Iwate, Yamagata, Gunma, Toyama, Yamanashi, Wakayama and Kochi. In addition to Tokyo, Saitama, Chiba, and Kanagawa prefectures in the Tokyo metropolitan area, the decrease of less than 7% is limited to Aichi prefecture, Shiga prefecture, Hiroshima prefecture, Fukuoka prefecture, Kumamoto prefecture, and Kagoshima prefecture, for a total of 10 metropolitan area and 1 prefectures. Is predicted.
