According to a forecast by Recruit Advancement Research Institute, the 2035-year-old population in 18 will be approximately 97 nationwide, a decrease of 2023 from approximately 109.7 in 12.7. These estimates are based on data from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology's school basic survey, and highlight the current situation where there is no halt to the declining birthrate.


 The decline was large in Tohoku, Hokkaido, Hokuriku, and Chugoku and Shikoku, with 6 out of 4 prefectures in Tohoku in particular predicted to see a decline of more than 20%. The only areas expected to see an increase are Tokyo (1.6%), where the population remains highly concentrated, and Okinawa (1.5%), where the birth rate is high.

 The university entrance rate is estimated to rise from 2014% in 48.1 to 2050% in 56.9. The areas with the largest increases are Hokkaido with an index of 2014 when 100 is set as 135.5, Shikoku with 122.8, and Koshinetsu with 121.4. Tokyo (71.4%), Kyoto (69.6%), and Kanagawa (65.6%) have the highest university entrance rates.


 Recruit University Advancement Research Institute recommends, ``Considering future population trends, the next five years or so will be an important period for promoting university reform to recruit students,'' and also urges local universities to ``shift the population from rural areas to urban areas.'' There is a possibility that migration will accelerate, and now is the time to seriously think about how to communicate the appeal and value of the region."

reference:[Recruit Advancement Research Institute] [Nationwide version] 18-year-old population prediction Rate of admission to universities, junior colleges, and vocational schools Trends in local retention rate 2023

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