Due to the tendency of the examinees to be local universities, the magnification of private universities in Tokyo may be reduced.

③ The number of applicants and successful applicants for general selection will decrease.

 As the examinees move toward comprehensive / school-recommended selection, more examinees will be selected by the end of the year, and the number of examinees who will take the general selection will decrease.Therefore, the number of applicants for general selection will decrease, and especially in the case of mid-sized private universities, the number of enrollees can be expected to some extent in the entrance examinations conducted within the year, so the number of successful applicants for general selection should be reduced. Is expected.In the departments that exceed the enrollment capacity only by the enrollees recommended by the designated school as mentioned above, the number of enrollees may greatly exceed the enrollment capacity if successful applicants are given in the general selection, so it is not possible to give successful applicants in the first place.This is an extreme example, but increasing the number of successful applicants for comprehensive / school-recommended selection will still reduce the number of people who can accept general selection.

 However, in the case of national and public universities and difficult private universities, the number of people recruited by general selection is much larger, so the impact on general selection is limited.In addition, the number of applicants for private universities in Tokyo is expected to decrease as many examinees aspire to universities in their local areas.In particular, the common test usage method is worried about the common test itself, so even at the popular private university in Tokyo, the number of applicants is expected to decrease considerably.For these reasons, it is expected that the ratio of the common test use method of the difficult private university in Tokyo will be lower than last year, so it can be said that it is one way of thinking to actively utilize it as an opportunity to take an examination.

④ The importance of the common test for university admission will increase, but the average score will be lower than the previous year.

 Although this is a common test, many test takers may be worried because it is the first test, but it is more important than usual.Waseda University has announced that it will use the results of the common test as an alternative to conducting additional exams, and like some faculties of Yokohama National University and Nagano Prefectural University, it will stop conducting individual exams and score common tests. It will play an even more important role than ever before, such as making a pass / fail judgment.

 However, from the contents of the trial survey (pretest) conducted twice in the past, it is expected that the difficulty of the question will be higher than the previous center test.Therefore, the average score is expected to be lower than the previous year's center test.Last year's center test also had an average score down in major subjects in the UK, numbers, and countries, but it is possible that it will go down even further.If a candidate does not reach the target score, he / she will be mentally damaged even if he / she knows that the average score is low and other candidates are not scoring.Therefore, mid-career students will be particularly cautious about applying for national and public universities.As a result, it is expected that the ratio of national and public universities will decrease, so even if you do not get the score you want, you should actively use it as an opportunity to take the exam, as in the case of the common test usage method of the above-mentioned difficult private university. Isn't it okay to think about it?

 

The examination period lasts longer than usual, and there is a possibility that the examinees will get an unexpected pass.

⑤ The examination period will be prolonged due to the implementation of additional examinations and transfer examinations.

 The common test has announced that the special supplementary test will be held on Saturday, February 2th and Sunday, February 13th.Since this will be held as a follow-up exam on Saturday, January 14th and Sunday, January 1st, the number of examinees will be limited, but this is an unprecedented measure.In addition, many national universities plan to conduct a follow-up exam on March 30nd.Although the number of examinees is expected to be limited here as well, many of the examinees who have passed the national university in the supplementary examination decline admission to private universities. It is a pain for private universities to decline admission at the end of March.Depending on the number of students, universities that have been declined by prospective students will have to submit additional successful applicants.This chain is seen almost every year, but it is expected that the 31 entrance exam will be more chaotic due to measures such as additional exams.

 Many private universities also allow transfer exams to late-stage entrance exams in order to secure exam opportunities, so it is likely that this year's entrance exams will take longer than usual due to these effects.However, even if you pass the exam at the end of March, you will be quite busy until you enter the university, such as finding a room or arranging for a move at a university in another area where you cannot go to school at home.This is likely to be one of the reasons for sending students to a local university, but it is said that many of the university classes next year are likely to be online classes, so it can be considered that there is no need to hurry to move. that's right.

⑥ The admission procedure rate will change due to the reorganization and new expansion of the university, and the additional examination will also affect it.

 In 2021, two new public universities will be established, and two private universities will be newly established.In addition, one public vocational university and four private vocational universities will be newly established.In addition, many national, public and private universities are planning to establish new faculties and departments. (From Kawaijuku's university entrance examination information site Kei-Net https://www.keinet.ne.jp/exam/2021/pdf/21shinzo.pdf

 When a new university or faculty is established, the flow of examinees will change.There will be more new competitors for the university.In some cases, successful applicants who have passed their own university will also pass to another newly established university and select that, so the admission procedure rate for successful applicants will change from the previous year.Although the admission procedure rate for successful applicants is not always the same every year, it fluctuates within a relatively narrow range, so it can be predicted to some extent.However, universities that have many applicants with newly established universities and faculties may be affected unexpectedly.If the actual enrollment procedure rate is lower than expected, the number of enrolled students may not reach the planned number.Therefore, in the entrance examination that will be held in the latter half of the year, you will be forced to take measures such as increasing the number of successful applicants from the initial schedule and issuing additional passes.

 Due to these effects, candidates may get unexpected passes in the latter half of the entrance examination.There will be additional exams this year, so it is possible that it will be more fluid than usual.I would like to take advantage of the opportunity to take the exam until the very end.

  1. 1
  2. 2

Satoru Kobe (educational journalist)

Education Journalist/University Entrance Examination Writer/Researcher
After joining Kawaijuku Educational School in 1985, he has been engaged in collecting and disseminating university entrance examination information for over XNUMX years, and is also in charge of editing the monthly magazine "Guideline".
After retiring from Kawaijuku in 2007, he has been engaged in entrance examination work such as pass / fail judgment and entrance examination system design at a university in Tokyo, and is also in charge of student recruitment and public relations work.
After retiring from university in 2015, he worked as a writer and editor for Asahi Shimbun Publishing's "University Ranking" and Kawaijuku's "Guideline", and also contributed to Nihon Keizai Shimbun and Mainichi Newspapers.After that, he worked for a national research and development agency, and since 2016 has been consulting to support various issues at universities. KEI Advanced (Kawaijuku Group) conducts simulations and market trend surveys using entrance examination data, as well as formulating future concepts and medium-term plans, establishing new faculties, and supporting the design of entrance examination systems.
Click here for detailed profile