A research group at Kyoto University has developed a simulation method that proposes an interregional medical sharing strategy to respond to the increase in severely ill patients with the new coronavirus.
In Japan as well, the number of people infected with the new coronavirus and severely ill patients continues to increase, and the medical field is now in danger of collapse.Due to the tightness of hospital beds and the shortage of doctors and nurses, there is concern that it will be difficult to accept inpatients, especially in single prefectures and single medical areas.
Therefore, this group has developed a simulation method for optimally allocating (sharing) medical resources in collaboration with the surrounding areas.Specifically, when a prefecture with a severe bed usage rate exceeding 100% occurs, the number of severe beds owned by the surrounding area is distributed (sharing) so that all prefectures have the number of severe beds. It is said that the simulation showed that the usage rate of severe beds can be alleviated under the condition that the upper limit of the above is not exceeded.
We also combined this with data from the COVID-19 infection prediction AI published by Google. Based on Google's infection prediction and the ratio of severely ill persons by prefecture announced by the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, the number of severely ill persons in each prefecture is predicted, and for areas where the limit of the number of severely ill beds is predicted to be exceeded soon. , Propose an optimal sharing policy for medical resources in a wide area. Whenever the source data of Google or the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare is updated, the analysis results will be updated and released immediately, so the need for interregional medical sharing to prevent medical collapse can be predicted at an early stage.
By formulating a wide-area new corona countermeasure medical area between prefectures and medical areas that can cooperate with each other and performing medical sharing as proposed by this method, it is possible to provide uniform medical care to critically ill patients in the area. It is thought that it will be connected.In this research, it is important to quickly build a wide-area network system that can share medical resources in order to respond to the ever-changing medical conditions.
