The number of finalized applicants for national and public universities has been announced, and the total number of applicants has decreased by about 10 from last year.Initially, it was expected that the number of applicants would be about the same as the previous year, but it can be said that the decrease in the average score of the National Center Test for University Admissions had an effect.On the other hand, the number of applicants for private universities has also been on a downward trend, turning from an increasing trend until last year.However, even under these circumstances, the "10 Club", a large private university with more than 2020 applicants, is still alive this year.In addition, among the universities where the number of applicants is increasing, there are also universities where "business reform" has been successful. "Safety-oriented" is not the only keyword for the XNUMX entrance exam.

 

By lowering the average score of the National Center Test for University Admissions, you can take a more solid examination.

The ups and downs of the average score of the National Center Test for University Admissions have a strong influence on the examinees.If the average score goes down, the score of each examinee will be lower than the target value, so we will take solid application actions such as changing to the school of choice with a higher possibility of passing.On the contrary, if the average score rises, in most cases, the application will be bullish as desired.In addition, the impact extends not only to national and public universities, but also to private universities that are applying for it at the same time.When the average score of the center test goes down, I feel uneasy about passing the exam only at the private university that has already applied, and it seems that every time there are students who apply for additional applications in a hurry.In addition, many examinees apply for a private university application using the center usage method, which places almost no burden on the application.If the average score of the center test goes down, the "points" that I expected will also go down, so a yellow light will be lit to pass the private university joint application school using the center usage method.Therefore, it will lead to the action of applying for additional private university joint application schools in the passing area where the passing is more certain.

This year's entrance exams are often taken more firmly in order to avoid the 2021 (first year of high school connection) entrance exams, where the entrance exam system will be reformed. It can be said that it was called.In this year's center test, English-7.0 points, Mathematics IA-7.8 points, and Number IIB-4.2 points were down, and the average score of English and Mathematics combined was down by about 20 points.Depending on the examinees, the score may not have increased further, including other subjects, and some students may not have been able to score as expected.To put it simply, the average score down this time is damaging to science students, so I think there were many cases where science students in particular applied for a safety school with a more certain pass.

 

The number of applicants is expected to exceed 10 at XNUMX universities including Kinki University, Japan University, and Waseda University.

It is estimated that the number of applicants for private university entrance examinations this year is decreasing at difficult universities and subsequent mid-sized universities due to the firm application behavior of the examinees.As a result, the number of private university applicants (total number of applicants), which has been increasing for more than 10 years, is expected to decrease by 7-8% from the previous year as a whole.

There are several sites where you can check the changes in the number of applicants for each university, but here we will look at the situation from the figures published in the "2020 Admissions Applicants Bulletin" of "University Communication ONLINE".According to this, although the number of applicants for difficult universities is declining, there are 10 private universities that have attracted more than XNUMX applicants this year as well. (Table XNUMX)

List of universities with more than 2020 applicants in 10

[Table 2020] Top ranking of university applicants in 2020 From the university newsletter ONLINE "3 Admission Applicants Bulletin" * The number of applicants is the number as of the March 4 survey.

Kinki University, Japan University, Waseda University, Hosei University, Ritsumeikan University, and Meiji University have attracted more than 2020 applicants in total for the 10 entrance examination.Kinki University has the highest number of applicants for six consecutive years, but it is expected that it will remain the highest number of applicants this year as well.Ritsumeikan University has returned to the 10 club for the first time in several years.In addition, the number of applicants for Toyo, which has been more than 10 for three years, has not reached 10 at the time of the survey, and whether it will reach 10 due to the increase in the number of applicants for the late entrance examination. It is the situation.

However, considering the decrease in the 18-year-old population, the university application rate, the situation of high school graduates, etc., it is estimated that the actual number of university applicants has decreased by about 1.5.Among them, the fact that there is a university that maintains the number of applicants on the scale of 10 can be said that Pareto's law is in effect (so-called winner-take-all voting).

next pageThe number of applicants at Japan University and Chiba Institute of Technology has increased by more than XNUMX from last year.
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Satoru Kobe (educational journalist)

Education Journalist/University Entrance Examination Writer/Researcher
After joining Kawaijuku Educational School in 1985, he has been engaged in collecting and disseminating university entrance examination information for over XNUMX years, and is also in charge of editing the monthly magazine "Guideline".
After retiring from Kawaijuku in 2007, he has been engaged in entrance examination work such as pass / fail judgment and entrance examination system design at a university in Tokyo, and is also in charge of student recruitment and public relations work.
After retiring from university in 2015, he worked as a writer and editor for Asahi Shimbun Publishing's "University Ranking" and Kawaijuku's "Guideline", and also contributed to Nihon Keizai Shimbun and Mainichi Newspapers.After that, he worked for a national research and development agency, and since 2016 has been consulting to support various issues at universities. KEI Advanced (Kawaijuku Group) conducts simulations and market trend surveys using entrance examination data, as well as formulating future concepts and medium-term plans, establishing new faculties, and supporting the design of entrance examination systems.
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